Moldavia U21 vs Russia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldavia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
4 - 3
MDA
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 2
PRT
11%
20%
69%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
MDA
2 - 2
GEO
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 0
MDA
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 1
MDA
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Russia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
POL
0 - 2
RUS
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
RUS
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
RUS
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
RUS
8 - 0
AZE
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RUS
7 - 3
GIN
87%
10%
3%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |