Mohun Bagan SG vs Mumbai City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
1º
47
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 4
MBS
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
MBS
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MBS
2 - 3
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
KER
3 - 4
MBS
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 3
MBS
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mumbai City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
MUM
2 - 1
DEL
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
HYD
0 - 3
MUM
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MUM
4 - 1
NOR
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
JAM
0 - 3
MUM
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 3
MUM
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |