Moguer CD vs UD Tomares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CCF
3 - 0
MOG
70%
19%
12%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MOG
1 - 4
ALG
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LAP
0 - 1
MOG
81%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MOG
1 - 3
CAC
26%
24%
50%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LEB
5 - 0
MOG
66%
20%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UD Tomares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UDT
5 - 1
PAL
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UDT
0 - 3
CCF
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 2
UDT
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UDT
0 - 3
ALG
72%
16%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MON
3 - 3
UDT
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |