Moguer CD vs Herrerías analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 4
MOG
43%
25%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MOG
3 - 0
RIO
64%
21%
15%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ARO
1 - 3
MOG
28%
26%
47%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
POZ
4 - 3
MOG
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MOG
3 - 2
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Herrerías
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
LOR
26%
24%
50%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 1
HER
57%
21%
21%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
CRU
21%
24%
56%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
HIN
3 - 2
HER
78%
15%
8%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
CDP
17%
21%
62%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |