Paulista A1 Round 2

Mogi Mirim vs Santos FC analysis

Mogi Mirim Santos FC
61 ELO 85
0.7% Tilt 4.1%
20680º General ELO ranking 121º
677º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
15.8%
Mogi Mirim
23%
Draw
61.3%
Santos FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
Mogi Mirim
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.3%
Win probability
Santos FC
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Mogi Mirim
Santos FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mogi Mirim
Mogi Mirim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2015
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
0 - 1
Mogi Mirim
MOG
53%
23%
24%
60 64 4 0
09 Nov. 2014
MOG
Mogi Mirim
2 - 1
Paysandu
PAY
43%
26%
31%
59 61 2 +1
01 Nov. 2014
PAY
Paysandu
4 - 1
Mogi Mirim
MOG
44%
26%
30%
62 60 2 -3
24 Oct. 2014
MOG
Mogi Mirim
0 - 0
Salgueiro
SAL
67%
21%
13%
64 55 9 -2
19 Oct. 2014
SAL
Salgueiro
0 - 1
Mogi Mirim
MOG
26%
27%
48%
63 56 7 +1

Matches

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2015
SAN
Santos FC
3 - 0
Ituano
ITU
79%
15%
6%
86 61 25 0
07 Dec. 2014
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
30%
26%
44%
85 75 10 +1
30 Nov. 2014
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
66%
20%
14%
85 77 8 0
23 Nov. 2014
SAN
Santos FC
0 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
50%
24%
26%
85 85 0 0
19 Nov. 2014
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
33%
26%
41%
85 80 5 0