Mogi Mirim vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
63.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 2
MOG
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MOG
3 - 1
POR
25%
25%
51%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
OES
1 - 2
MOG
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 0
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
MOG
37%
25%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
SCI
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
SAN
18%
23%
59%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 1
PPE
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
COM
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |