Modena Sub 19 vs Siena Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 0
MOD
82%
13%
5%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
17%
22%
61%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 1
MOD
78%
15%
8%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 2
MOD
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 3
SAS
27%
24%
50%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Siena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 1
TOR
15%
24%
61%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SIE
0 - 1
SAS
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
EMP
2 - 2
SIE
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SIE
0 - 2
SPE
21%
22%
58%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
SIE
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |