Moca vs Bayaguana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 3
MOC
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MOC
2 - 0
DON
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ESC
0 - 1
MOC
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 9
MOC
29%
24%
46%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MOC
0 - 0
SCR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayaguana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 1
SCR
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SCP
6 - 2
BAY
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 1
UNI
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 1
DEP
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
DON
5 - 0
BAY
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |