Mladost Lučani vs Radnički Kragujevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
14º
14º
37
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
FKS
1 - 1
MLA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
RNB
2 - 1
MLA
11%
19%
70%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
MNS
1 - 1
MLA
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MLA
3 - 1
NAP
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
NPA
3 - 1
MLA
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Radnički Kragujevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RAD
3 - 0
KOL
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
RAD
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 1
CRV
12%
19%
69%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 3
RAD
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FKS
1 - 2
RAD
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |