Mladost Lučani vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
72.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
RNS
2 - 0
MLA
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MLA
5 - 0
BAK
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MAV
0 - 1
MLA
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
GAZ
3 - 1
MLA
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
ARS
4 - 1
MLA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CRV
1 - 1
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
RAD
0 - 1
CRV
7%
16%
77%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CRV
4 - 0
VOJ
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRV
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
CRV
2 - 1
RAB
87%
10%
3%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |