KS Cracovia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
14º
14º
59
1º
18º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 56 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 54 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 54 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 46 |
8º
|
43.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 45 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 42 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 41 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
14º
|
47.5% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 37 |
15º
|
56% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
16º
|
71% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 30 |
17º
|
90.5% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 22 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 75.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KS Cracovia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LKS
0 - 2
CRA
31%
27%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 4
CRA
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 5
POG
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
WLO
2 - 0
CRA
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CRA
3 - 1
ZAG
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 0
WAR
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 0
SLA
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
LKS
2 - 2
JAG
24%
25%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
JAG
3 - 2
RAD
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
2 - 1
JAG
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |