Mirassol vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
MIR
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MIR
4 - 1
ARA
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 0
MIR
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 0
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
MIR
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
XVD
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 2
UNI
62%
20%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
AUD
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |