Mirassol vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
OES
1 - 1
MIR
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 1
BOT
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 1
PAL
13%
24%
64%
|
55 | 89 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 0
MIR
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
MIR
2 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
RBB
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
PPE
3 - 0
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |