Mirassol vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
MIR
26%
25%
48%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MIR
3 - 0
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 3
MIR
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 0
MIR
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MIR
3 - 2
BAT
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
COT
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
BOT
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAD
82%
14%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |