Mirasol-Baco vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
67.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+194%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirasol-Baco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 1
MIR
54%
21%
26%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 1
SEP
14%
19%
67%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
JUA
3 - 2
MIR
59%
20%
21%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 4
FUN
27%
21%
52%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PLR
1 - 0
MIR
35%
21%
44%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
5 - 2
LLO
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 2
SAN
21%
21%
59%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
LFO
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SEP
0 - 1
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 3
JUN
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |