Milton Keynes Dons vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 4
MKD
18%
25%
58%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 2
MKD
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MKD
1 - 1
STA
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
MKD
2 - 1
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
IPS
3 - 0
MKD
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 2
OXF
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
EXE
0 - 1
CHE
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FLE
0 - 0
CHE
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 2
OPA
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 7
EXE
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -2 |