Milton Keynes Dons vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
MKD
2 - 1
BBU
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 0
MKD
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 1
MKD
28%
26%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MKD
2 - 0
OLD
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
MKD
24%
24%
53%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
CUM
2 - 1
IPS
36%
24%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CUM
4 - 2
OPA
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 3
TRA
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
STE
1 - 1
CUM
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CUM
1 - 0
STA
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |