Millwall vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
MIL
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 1
SWA
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
MIL
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
MIL
2 - 3
DER
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
NTT
0 - 3
MIL
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
MID
0 - 1
QPR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
HUL
2 - 1
MID
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
STO
0 - 2
MID
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
MID
0 - 3
SWA
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
MID
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |