Millwall vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 2
SWA
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
MIL
3 - 2
PLY
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 0
MIL
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
SHW
2 - 1
MIL
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 1
DER
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
LEE
0 - 0
MID
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
LEE
0 - 2
PNE
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 3
LEE
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
SWA
2 - 2
LEE
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LEE
2 - 0
ROT
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |