Millwall vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 0
MIL
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 4
BOU
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 0
MIL
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 3
SWA
29%
27%
43%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
MIL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 3
LUT
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
WYC
2 - 1
BRI
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SHW
1 - 1
BRI
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
NTT
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
COV
3 - 1
BRI
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |