Millwall vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 2
MIL
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 1
GIL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 0
SWI
64%
21%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
MIL
3 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SCU
3 - 0
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
BOU
3 - 3
ARS
15%
20%
65%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
SWA
0 - 3
BOU
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CHL
3 - 0
BOU
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 3
SOU
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 0
LEI
35%
25%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |