Millonarios vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 1
EST
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
SFE
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
BOG
2 - 0
MIL
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 1
PAT
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 0
EQU
57%
23%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
SFE
1 - 1
PAS
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 0
SFE
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 2
SFE
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
SFE
2 - 1
EQU
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
SFE
2 - 1
AGU
56%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |