Millonarios vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 0
JUN
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 0
MIL
13%
22%
64%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 2
MIL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 1
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MIL
4 - 1
PAT
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
LLA
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
PER
0 - 0
LLA
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 1
EQU
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 1
RSC
42%
28%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 1
SFE
16%
22%
63%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |