Millonarios vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
HUI
0 - 3
MIL
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 1
MIL
38%
27%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 2
EQU
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
COR
2 - 3
MIL
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MIL
4 - 1
ENV
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
IND
3 - 2
CHI
63%
23%
15%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ONC
1 - 2
IND
45%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 0
IND
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
IND
2 - 2
NAC
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
IND
0 - 0
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |