Copa Colombia Round 5

Millonarios vs Tigres FC analysis

Millonarios Tigres FC
77 ELO 58
7.4% Tilt 2.2%
542º General ELO ranking 2194º
Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
78.5%
Millonarios
14.9%
Draw
6.5%
Tigres FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
Millonarios
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.5%
Win probability
Tigres FC
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Millonarios
+3%
+3%
Tigres FC

ELO progression

Millonarios
Tigres FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Millonarios
Millonarios
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2015
ENV
Envigado
0 - 0
Millonarios
MIL
39%
27%
34%
78 76 2 0
23 Apr. 2015
BOG
Bogotá
0 - 2
Millonarios
MIL
15%
21%
64%
77 57 20 +1
19 Apr. 2015
JAG
Jaguares FC
3 - 3
Millonarios
MIL
27%
27%
46%
77 67 10 0
16 Apr. 2015
MIL
Millonarios
3 - 1
Alianza FC
ALI
60%
23%
17%
77 72 5 0
08 Apr. 2015
HUI
Atlético Huila
2 - 2
Millonarios
MIL
43%
26%
30%
77 76 1 0

Matches

Tigres FC
Tigres FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2015
TFC
Tigres FC
0 - 1
Universitario Popayán
UNI
27%
28%
45%
58 63 5 0
19 Apr. 2015
REA
Real Santander
3 - 0
Tigres FC
TFC
48%
26%
26%
59 60 1 -1
11 Apr. 2015
TFC
Tigres FC
1 - 3
Real Cundinamarca
RSC
25%
29%
47%
60 68 8 -1
04 Apr. 2015
TFC
Tigres FC
1 - 1
Llaneros
LLA
25%
29%
46%
59 68 9 +1
01 Apr. 2015
TFC
Tigres FC
0 - 1
La Equidad
EQU
21%
27%
52%
60 71 11 -1