Milan vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACM
22%
24%
53%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 1
LIV
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ACM
0 - 1
UDI
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
INT
2 - 0
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ACM
4 - 0
SIE
77%
16%
8%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
UDI
3 - 1
NAP
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
ROM
2 - 0
UDI
70%
19%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 1
UDI
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ACM
0 - 1
UDI
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
UDI
2 - 3
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |