Milan vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 0
ACM
28%
25%
48%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
ACM
2 - 0
SPA
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ACM
2 - 1
UDI
73%
18%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
AUS
1 - 5
ACM
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LAZ
4 - 1
ACM
51%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SLA
1 - 1
RIJ
21%
26%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
VRB
1 - 3
RIJ
5%
14%
82%
|
83 | 31 | 52 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
HKS
0 - 2
RIJ
44%
25%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
RIJ
1 - 2
AEK
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
RIJ
7 - 0
HNK
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |