Milan vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 5
MAC
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
OLP
3 - 0
ACM
32%
24%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ACM
2 - 1
SAS
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
ACM
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
53%
24%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 2
MAC
34%
24%
42%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 0
OLP
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 1
ROM
61%
21%
18%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
PNE
1 - 2
LIV
7%
14%
79%
|
91 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
BIF
2 - 1
LIV
10%
17%
74%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |