Milan vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
ACM
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ACM
2 - 0
CES
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ACM
1 - 1
EMP
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 1
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ACM
3 - 1
PAR
68%
20%
13%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 2
VER
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VER
1 - 1
ROM
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GEN
5 - 2
VER
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
VER
1 - 3
TOR
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
VER
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |