Milan vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
DEP
4 - 0
ACM
54%
24%
21%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
15%
26%
59%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ACM
2 - 2
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
ACM
4 - 1
DEP
50%
24%
25%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
ACM
3 - 1
PAR
66%
20%
15%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
EMP
1 - 0
PRG
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PAR
4 - 0
EMP
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
EMP
1 - 1
SAM
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
EMP
0 - 0
LEC
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
EMP
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |