Milan vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 7
ACM
26%
24%
49%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 3
ACM
61%
22%
18%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ACM
2 - 0
BEN
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ACM
43%
24%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ACM
1 - 2
SAS
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
CAG
0 - 0
FIO
32%
25%
42%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 3
CAG
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NAP
1 - 1
CAG
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAG
3 - 2
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
UDI
0 - 1
CAG
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |