Milan vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1969 |
PAL
0 - 0
ACM
20%
31%
49%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
MUD
1 - 0
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
71%
20%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
ACM
2 - 0
VAR
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
TOR
1 - 0
ACM
41%
29%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1969 |
AJA
1 - 0
ADO
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
AJA
1 - 2
PSV
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
AJA
3 - 2
DWS
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 0
TWE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |