UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 2-7
Midtjylland vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
LYN
3 - 3
MID
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
SLB
4 - 1
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
OBK
1 - 5
MID
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
AEK
1 - 1
MID
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
MID
1 - 3
SIF
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SLB
4 - 0
ARO
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
SLB
4 - 1
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SLB
3 - 2
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
SLB
4 - 2
GIR
77%
15%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SLB
5 - 1
FUL
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |