Premier League Round 5

Middlesbrough vs Manchester United analysis

Middlesbrough Manchester United
79 ELO 81
18.7% Tilt 13.8%
615º General ELO ranking 44º
24º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.3%
Middlesbrough
20.6%
Draw
22.2%
Manchester United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.2%
Win probability
Manchester United
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Middlesbrough
-1%
-2%
Manchester United

ELO progression

Middlesbrough
Manchester United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 1929
SHE
Sheffield United
1 - 3
Middlesbrough
MID
63%
18%
19%
79 82 3 0
07 Sep. 1929
WHU
West Ham
5 - 3
Middlesbrough
MID
59%
20%
21%
79 80 1 0
04 Sep. 1929
MID
Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Sheffield United
SHE
52%
21%
27%
79 82 3 0
31 Aug. 1929
MID
Middlesbrough
5 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
52%
22%
26%
78 84 6 +1
04 May. 1929
MID
Middlesbrough
3 - 0
Grimsby Town
GRI
71%
16%
13%
77 71 6 +1

Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 1929
MUD
Manchester United
2 - 1
Leicester
LEI
43%
25%
32%
80 85 5 0
07 Sep. 1929
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
45%
24%
31%
80 81 1 0
02 Sep. 1929
LEI
Leicester
4 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
72%
16%
12%
80 85 5 0
31 Aug. 1929
NEW
Newcastle
4 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
67%
18%
15%
81 84 3 -1
04 May. 1929
MUD
Manchester United
0 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
56%
22%
22%
80 78 2 +1