Middlesbrough vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1928 |
BUR
1 - 1
MID
66%
17%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
MID
1 - 1
BIR
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1928 |
BBU
3 - 0
MID
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1928 |
HUR
4 - 0
MID
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
SHW
2 - 3
MID
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1928 |
BCF
2 - 3
BIR
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
WHU
1 - 2
BCF
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1928 |
BCF
3 - 0
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
SUN
1 - 0
BCF
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1928 |
BCF
0 - 0
ASV
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |