Micaelense vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Micaelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
IDE
2 - 2
MIC
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FAY
1 - 2
MIC
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MIC
3 - 0
AGU
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PRA
0 - 0
MIC
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MIC
2 - 2
SCG
36%
25%
40%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
IDE
3 - 0
LUS
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LUS
2 - 0
FAY
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 2
LUS
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LUS
2 - 1
PRA
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |