Miami vs Bonavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
58.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miami
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 0
MIA
88%
9%
3%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MIA
2 - 2
CCL
16%
18%
66%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
AST
1 - 1
MIA
72%
17%
12%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MIA
2 - 5
TAR
34%
22%
44%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MPE
3 - 0
MIA
77%
14%
9%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bonavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
BON
0 - 0
SCA
74%
15%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BON
0 - 2
BON
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BON
1 - 1
EPP
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ECA
1 - 0
BON
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BON
3 - 1
VAL
43%
22%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |