Second Division Temporada Regular. Jor. 16

Mgarr United FC vs Qormi FC analysis

Mgarr United FC Qormi FC
49 ELO 24
5% Tilt -1.7%
3227º General ELO ranking 7055º
19º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
84.9%
Mgarr United FC
11.1%
Draw
4%
Qormi FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
Mgarr United FC
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4%
Win probability
Qormi FC
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mgarr United FC
+10%
+80%
Qormi FC

Points and table prediction

Mgarr United FC
Their league position
Qormi FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
14º
22
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Senglea Athletic
53
53
100%
Mgarr United FC
50
50
100%
Zabbar St. Patrick
48
48
100%
Msida St Joseph
43
43
100%
Kalkara
36
36
100%
Luqa St. Andrew's
33
33
100%
Xghajra Tornados
32
32
100%
Gharghur
31
31
0%
Rabat Ajax
31
31
0%
Kirkop United
10º
29
29
10º
0%
St. Georges FC
11º
29
29
11º
0%
Birzebbuga St. Peters FC
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Ghaxaq
13º
25
25
13º
100%
Qormi FC
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Pembroke Athleta FC
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Mellieha
16º
16
16
16º
100%
St. Venera
17º
14
14
17º
100%
Siggiewi
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Dingli Swallows
19º
9
9
19º
100%
Mdina Knights
20º
6
6
20º
100%
Ta' Xbiex
21º
1
1
21º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mgarr United FC
Qormi FC
Promotion
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Mgarr United FC
Qormi FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mgarr United FC
Mgarr United FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
XGH
Xghajra Tornados
0 - 5
Mgarr United FC
MGA
21%
23%
57%
48 35 13 0
20 Jan. 2023
MGA
Mgarr United FC
3 - 1
Kalkara
KAL
62%
21%
17%
47 41 6 +1
15 Jan. 2023
SAN
San Gwann
3 - 1
Mgarr United FC
MGA
32%
25%
43%
49 44 5 -2
08 Jan. 2023
PAT
Pembroke Athleta FC
0 - 3
Mgarr United FC
MGA
58%
23%
19%
47 53 6 +2
17 Dec. 2022
MGA
Mgarr United FC
0 - 1
Senglea Athletic
SEN
56%
22%
22%
48 44 4 -1

Matches

Qormi FC
Qormi FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2023
QOR
Qormi FC
0 - 5
Zabbar St. Patrick
ZAB
10%
19%
70%
25 52 27 0
21 Jan. 2023
BIR
Birzebbuga St. Peters FC
3 - 1
Qormi FC
QOR
69%
17%
13%
25 37 12 0
08 Jan. 2023
QOR
Qormi FC
2 - 2
Mellieha
MEL
58%
21%
21%
26 26 0 -1
17 Dec. 2022
XBI
Ta' Xbiex
0 - 5
Qormi FC
QOR
11%
15%
74%
25 13 12 +1
11 Dec. 2022
QOR
Qormi FC
2 - 0
St. Venera
VEN
62%
19%
19%
24 22 2 +1
X