Mezzolara vs Corticella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 0
MEZ
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MEZ
0 - 1
ACA
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 2
MEZ
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 1
SER
38%
24%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 0
SAM
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
COR
2 - 0
PRO
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 2
COR
60%
21%
20%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
COR
2 - 1
USR
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LEN
3 - 1
COR
80%
14%
6%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
COR
19%
19%
62%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |