Mezzolara vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 3
MEZ
20%
24%
57%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MEZ
3 - 0
FOR
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FID
3 - 1
MEZ
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
MEZ
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MEZ
0 - 0
MAS
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
PIA
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
VIR
31%
27%
42%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
RIC
1 - 0
FOR
35%
25%
41%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 5
PIS
18%
24%
59%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |