Toluca Sub 17 vs Pumas UNAM Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
MEX
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
MEX
2 - 1
MOR
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 2
MEX
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
MEX
0 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 0
MEX
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PUM
2 - 0
GUA
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
QUE
3 - 1
PUM
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -3 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUM
33%
25%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
PUM
1 - 1
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VER
0 - 2
PUM
12%
19%
69%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | +1 |