México U20 vs Japón U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
32.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 0
VEN
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 2
IRL
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GRC
3 - 3
MEX
17%
20%
63%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 1
MEX
20%
22%
58%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 2
MEX
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Japan U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
JPN
1 - 2
ISR
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
JPN
1 - 2
COL
30%
26%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SEN
0 - 1
JPN
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 1
JPN
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 1
JPN
49%
23%
29%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |