Metz vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 0
MET
53%
27%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
LYO
19%
24%
57%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MPL
2 - 0
MET
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
NAN
40%
28%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 0
MET
71%
18%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GIR
1 - 1
BAS
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
TFC
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PSG
2 - 0
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
LUS
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |