Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 1-6
Metalurg Skopje vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
46.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalurg Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
RCH
3 - 1
MET
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
MET
0 - 0
BIR
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 2
MET
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
MET
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
BRE
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
RCH
3 - 1
MET
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
RCH
2 - 1
GDA
59%
25%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 2
RCH
29%
28%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RCH
2 - 2
LKS
70%
21%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
WAR
3 - 0
RCH
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |