ACR Messina vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 1
MES
47%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
MES
0 - 0
FRO
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MAN
4 - 0
MES
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MES
1 - 0
CES
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 1
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 0
PIA
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
RIM
2 - 1
TRE
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
TRE
0 - 1
CHI
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 0
TRE
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 0
AVE
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |