ACR Messina vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
MES
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
MES
1 - 0
ACP
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
MES
3 - 0
REG
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 1
MES
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
MES
1 - 1
PRO
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
ATL
4 - 1
FIO
29%
25%
45%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
FIO
3 - 1
BOL
75%
15%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
FIO
1 - 1
INT
64%
18%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 1
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1960 |
FIO
6 - 2
FCL
79%
13%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |