ACR Messina vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
REG
3 - 0
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
MES
1 - 3
ACM
13%
23%
64%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 0
MES
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MES
3 - 1
TRE
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
INT
3 - 0
MES
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
EMP
1 - 0
INT
16%
25%
60%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 1
EMP
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
EMP
2 - 1
SIE
45%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
EMP
2 - 1
SAM
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
LAZ
3 - 3
EMP
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |