ACR Messina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
SIR
2 - 0
MES
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
MES
1 - 1
SPA
36%
23%
41%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
MES
1 - 1
TRE
61%
19%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
REG
2 - 1
MES
59%
20%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
USC
1 - 0
MES
46%
23%
31%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
BRE
12 - 0
ANC
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
SER
3 - 1
BRE
44%
23%
33%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
BRE
4 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
MOD
2 - 1
BRE
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRE
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |