ACR Messina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
54.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PIC
2 - 1
MES
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MES
1 - 1
LUC
58%
21%
20%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MES
1 - 0
FRA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
USF
2 - 0
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAG
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 1
BAR
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 0
MON
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
RPO
1 - 1
BAR
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
FIA
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |