ACR Messina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
REG
1 - 0
MES
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
MES
2 - 0
TAR
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
UDI
5 - 1
MES
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
MES
1 - 0
AVE
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
SSB
2 - 2
MES
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
COS
0 - 1
BAR
46%
28%
25%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
BAR
0 - 0
AVE
43%
29%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
TAR
0 - 0
BAR
37%
33%
30%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
BAR
0 - 0
GEN
54%
27%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
UDI
0 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |